Blue Archive Pull Planner
Real odds on the featured 3★ — pulls for 50%, for 90%, and for the guarantee, and the expected spend
0379 pulls
99 typical, 200 if unlucky, 108 on average — guaranteed by 200. Plotted on the same axis as every other game.
Blue Archive's Recruitment: 3.0% total 3★, 0.7% rate-up on the featured student, and a 200-pull spark that guarantees the featured student.
Starting from zero pity — the actual numbers
If you open the banner with no pity carried over, this is what a featured 3★ costs. The planner above adjusts these for the pity you already have.
| Outcome | Pulls | Pyroxene |
|---|---|---|
| 50% chance | 99 | 11,880 |
| 90% chance | 200 | 24,000 |
| Expected (average) | 108 | 12,936 |
| Guaranteed by | 200 | 24,000 |
Base rate 3.0% per pull and a hard guarantee at pull 200. “Expected” is the mean across the full distribution, not the median — half of players get there sooner than the 50% row, and a long tail does not.